Crooked Pitch

When it comes to projection systems for the upcoming season, Marcel the Monkey Forecasting System is known as bare boned. Instead of complicated algorithms and uncountable hours pouring over spreadsheet data to forecast how a player will perform, Marcel merely

“uses 3 years of MLB data, with the most recent data weighted heavier. It regresses towards the mean. And it has an age factor.”

However, as accuracy goes, Marcel doesn’t do bad matched up against the “big boy” projections. In fact, 60%-70% is typically as good as it gets with projection systems, and Marcel fills that bill. Any serious fantasy baseball GM should take a look.

Marcel 2008 Hitting Projections

Marcel 2008 Pitching Projections

The two files above are Google spreadsheets. If you would like both the hitters and pitchers in a zipped file format, click here.

This entry was posted on Monday, January 7th, 2008 at 9:54 pm and is filed under Fantasy Baseball. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.