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We’re past the torture! Johan Santana has finally been traded. No more speculation about who’s going to get him, for how much and most annoying, when. The New York Mets won the bidding war.

Now the question, with real fantasy baseball implications, is how well will Johan pitch as a Met. We have a few more months to argue about that, but Nate Silver, over at Baseball Prospectus, just took an early shot at what Santana’s numbers could look like in Shea Stadium versus the Metrodome.

An extra win and a 0.38 drop in ERA should excite Met’s fans and fantasy GM’s. Santana is already valued as the top fantasy pitcher in baseball. His current Average Draft Position at Mock Draft Central is 17.20 and he’s gone as early as #3 and as late as #26. I’m not sure that the trade to the Mets will increase his draft position, but it does make him a bit more valuable for owners who already drafted him or would normally draft him early on. It will be interesting to keep an eye on his ADP over the next few weeks to see what kinds of changes occur.

Welcome to the National League, Mr. Santana.

• UPDATE, 1-30-08 at 10:28: Mike Harmon thinks that Johan Santan’s line could look like, 21 wins, 2.55 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 254 strikeouts. Wow! That’s crazy talk man…
• UPDATE, 1-30-08 at 10:38: This should probably be looked at in a post of its own, but Eric of Fake Teams fame looks at the other winner in the Santana deal. Could Carlos Gomez really steal 40+ bases? We’ll cover that later…

This entry was posted on Wednesday, January 30th, 2008 at 10:39 am and is filed under Starting Pitchers. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.