Matt Holliday’s Fantasy Value Might Be Headed For A Downward Spiral
Posted by: Knox Bardeen in Outfielders, Trades, tags: Matt HollidayThank you for visiting Crooked Pitch! While you're here you'll find tons of valuable fantasy baseball information to help you win your fantasy baseball league. If you're new here, or haven't done so yet, you may want to subscribe to my RSS feed. You can also follow Crooked Pitch on Twitter @crookedpitch Thanks for visiting!
The Colorado Rockies have announced to the baseball world that they will entertain offers for fantasy stud Matt Holliday. Instead of allowing Holliday to play the final season of his contract in Colorado and then test the free agent waters, the Rockies want to see what they can get for the outfielder.
The question remains, would leaving the hitter’s haven of Coors Field hurt Matt Holliday’s fantasy value?
In 2008 Holliday hit .332 with 15 home runs at home, and .308 with ten home runs on the road. While those aren’t huge differences, his road numbers would almost certainly not allow him to be a first round pick. To further prove that point, look at his slash stats and how they relate to his RBI production. At home, Holliday averages .332/.413/.584 and drove in 59 runs. But, on the road his averages were .308/.405/.486 with only 29 RBI. That almost 100 point reduction in slugging percentage seemed to take its toll on his RBI total.
It’s even worse in you look at his career home/road splits.
- Home - .357/.423/.645 with 84 home runs and 307 RBI in 1353 at-bats
- Away - .280/.348/.455 with 44 home runs and 176 RBI in 1303 at-bats
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October 28th, 2008 at 12:05 pm
Doom and gloom. Sure, Holliday’s value will be lower since he won’t play half his game at Coors, but it’s not as if he’s going to turn into a replacement-level player.
October 28th, 2008 at 12:09 pm
Agree. And well said.
He wouldn’t, however, IMHO be a first round fantasy selection any longer.
October 31st, 2008 at 5:31 pm
Great point on Holliday. I’ve got him as a keeper and although it would set him back quite a bit I still see him being a top 30 player. His steal rate last year was excellent and if you look at his numbers with runners in scoring position in 2008 vs 2007 I think you will find that Holliday could have been even better all around last year.
November 10th, 2008 at 3:17 pm
[...] mentioned previously, this deal will most assuredly hurt Hollidays fantasy baseball value. At this point, I can only speculate how much. Holliday has never played a game at McAfee Coliseum. [...]