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I just read an interesting post over at The Waiver Wire speaking about xFIP as a tool for ERA forecasting.

“If you had to bet your life on the accuracy of an [tag]ERA forecast[/tag] made by one stat, what would it be? Mine would be xFIP…”

We all know that Johan Santana is far and away the #1 SP that should be taken off the board. I decided to put xFIP to the test and rank the five 2nd tier pitchers available in upcoming drafts. Here they are with their [tag]xFIP[/tag] value, in order of how I have ranked them :

Chris Carpenter - 3.53
Carlos Zambrano - 4.43
Roy Oswalt - 3.75
Brandon Webb - 3.13
Roy Halladay - 3.59

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