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Paul sent me this one:
Ok, I’m in a 10-team NL-only league. $260 for 23 players. Allowed to keep 13. I think I have 4 or 5 competing for final two spots. Here’s a list of the 16 under consideration. Need to cut three. Thanks!
Fielder, $27; Hanley $35, Kelly Johnson, $2; Chris Young, Ariz $16; Milledge $1; Francouer $24; Theriot, $2; Peavy $32, Lincecum $10, Maine $6; Wandy R. $2; Lidge $17, Saito $16, Broxton $8; T. Pena $4, Qualls $1.
Thanks for the question Paul. I’m going to answer as you are in a 5X5 league.
Prince Fielder, Hanley Ramirez, Chris Young and Jake Peavy are rock solid keepers and on the definite list. With Fielder you get 40+ homers, 100+ RBI’s and runs and close to a .300 average. Ramirez is a five-tool stud, Young, if he gets his average up a bit, is a five-tool stud in the making and Peavy is one of the best, young, stable pitchers in MLB. That leaves us with having to cut three of the following:
- Kelly Johnson - At $2, Johnson is an incredible bargain. You should get $13 plus value out of him and help in all 5 categories. Keep
- Lastings Milledge - Another bargain at $1 and increased playing time with the Nationals makes this an easy choice as well. Keep
- Jeff Francoeur - Might be a bit overpriced at $24, but not by much. His home run total dropped in ‘07, but his batting average increased. I think you may be able to replace Francoeur’s OF numbers elsewhere and for less money than $24. It’s a tough call for me, but I gotta let him go. Cut
- Ryan Theriot - Theriot at $2 is another amazing bargain. 30+ stolen bases can be expected. Keep
- Tim Lincecum - $10 is a lot cheaper than you would get him on the open auction market. He’s got great stuff but it’s just too bad he pitches for the Giants. He’ll take some bruising, but will provide great strikeout totals and a sub 4.00 ERA. Keep
- John Maine - Maine at $6 is a super deal too. His ERA should stay below 4.00 and another 15 win season isn’t unrealistic. Nor is it unrealistic to think he may approach 20 wins. Keep
- Wandy Rodriguez - If he could only pitch all of his games in Houston he’d by a top tier option. Rodriguez is going to kill you on the road, but maybe you can sit him in those situations <g>. That being said, for $2 you can take a flier on him and see if he can correct his road woes and have a breakout season. Keep
- Brad Lidge - Lidge is going to be high risk/high reward for 2008. I can see a lot of saves for him with the Phillies. I can also see him hanging his head after home run balls are launched out of one of the best home run parks in baseball. Houston wasn’t much of a pitchers ballpark either, so we’re going to go high reward here. Keep
- Takashi Saito - Saito is getting close to the regression years. Well heck, he’s 38, it’s safe to say he should see some declining numbers in 2008. Spend the $16 elsewhere. Cut
- Jonathan Broxton - If Saito is regressing, who will be there to take his place? The answer is Jonathan Broxton and he’s one dominant relief pitcher. His upside, and $8 price tag, make him a better choice than Saito. Keep
- Tony Pena - Pena is the heir apparent in Arizona, and you’re going to need some saves since we’re cutting Saito. Watch him though, as his second half numbers weren’t as strong as the first half. $4 is a good price and there is upside there. Keep
- Chad Qualls - $1 is a great price, but Qualls is still a set-up guy. I know, I know… I just said the exact opposite when talking about your two Dodger closers, but here I think Qualls loses out. There I think Broxton wins. It’s possible for him to move into the closer role in Arizona, but only if your other guy (Pena) falters. It’s a tough decision but you can only keep Pena or Qualls. Since Pena has the job right now, my choice is him. Cut
So, there you go. Cut Frenchy, Saito and Qualls. But these weren’t easy decisions. Great question!
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